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Pork producers slow marketing from 2008

Feeder pigs at United Tel-O-Auction this week were about $10 per cwt. below four weeks earlier. The United pigs by weighted groups were: 50-60 pounds $91-113 per cwt. and 60-70 pounds $84 per cwt.

The prices for the U.S. last week shows 50-54 percent lean 10 pound basis pigs between $39-40 per head and 50-54 percent lean 40 pound basis a little over $59 per head average.

The average weight of barrows and gilts in Iowa-Minnesota live last week at 269 pounds up 0.3 pound from a week earlier and up 0.9 pound from a year earlier. Carcass weights at 201 pounds under Federal Inspection for the week ending Jan. 24 were the same as a year earlier. For the week ending Jan. 31 carcass weights at 202 pounds up two pounds from 12 months earlier.

This data continues to indicate producers slowed marketings relative to a year earlier. In August, live barrow and gilt were as much as three pounds below a year earlier. This change in weights suggests producers have backed up marketings between one to two days since late summer.

Packers have been very aggressive again this week in buying hogs. Thursday the afternoon cutout was $58.54 per cwt. and the western Corn Belt negotiated base price was 61.40 per cwt. This means they had only a portion of the drop to pay their entire slaughter and processing costs, which means red ink.

The live hog prices Friday morning were $0.50-2 per cwt. higher compared to a week earlier. The weighted average negotiated carcass prices Friday morning were $2.88-8.99 per cwt. higher compared to seven days earlier.

The live prices Friday morning for select markets were: Peoria $3.65 per cwt., Zumbrota, Minnesota, $40 per cwt. and interior Missouri $41 per cwt. The weighted average negotiated carcass prices Friday morning by areas were: western Corn Belt $62.05, eastern Corn Belt $55.83 per cwt., Iowa-Minnesota $62.09 per cwt. and nation $58.61 per cwt.

We still believe the odds are high for the normal seasonal increase in hog prices this spring. In the past five years the increase in price from February to June has been about $8 per cwt. live or nearly $11 per cwt. in carcass.

Slaughter this week under Federal Inspection was estimated at 2.236 million head, up 0.7 percent from a year earlier.

The views and opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and not necessarily those of Farm World. Readers with questions or comments for Glenn Grimes and Ron Plain may write to them in care of this publication.

2/18/2009