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National bank group: Farm lenders in good health for 2015

 

 

By MATTHEW D. ERNST

Missouri Correspondent

 

CHICAGO, Ill. — Lower land values and declining farm incomes may stir memories of past farm crises. But farm banks across the Midwest report good financial health and available credit for farms in the coming year.

Reports of declining cropland values continue across the Corn Belt. Ag lenders surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago reported a 3 percent drop in the value of "good" farmland in 2014. Half the bankers surveyed – in Iowa, northern Illinois, northern Indiana and the southern parts of Wisconsin and Michigan – expected farmland values to decline more this spring.

But today’s land value declines do not have the impacts of those during the farm crisis of a generation ago. "The run-up in farmland values so far is not a credit-driven event," stated the 2014 Farm Bank Performance Report, published last month by the American Bankers Assoc. (ABA).

According to the report, asset quality at the nation’s farm banks improved during 2014. Non-current loans – those more than 90 days past due – declined to 0.5 percent of loans held by farm banks, back to the pre-recession level. Farm banks are well positioned to meet the needs of their customers in 2015, the ABA said.

A big reason for better ag bank health today over 30 years ago is a change in lending practices. "It’s different than the 1980s because banks are lending on cash flow instead of collateral," explained Wayne Mattingly, an ag lender at Independence Bank in Owensboro, Ky.

Farm lenders focus on cash flow – the farm’s ability to service its debt from farm income – rather than justifying loans based on the collateral value of financed purchases.

Cash flow lending leaves banks less exposed to drops in land values. Mike Duffy, retired Iowa State University extension economist, reported the largest percentage drop in Iowa farmland values since 1986 last year – 8.9 percent per acre, according to the Iowa Land Value Survey.

Similar surveys across the region report such drops in cropland values, though pasture and timber values are, in some places, still increasing.

Duffy, who came to ISU in the midst of the 1980s farm financial crisis, said Iowa’s land value decline is different than the drop 30 years ago. High-grade farmland had appreciated faster in value than lower-quality land, he explained, and high-grade farmland values declined faster as grain prices dropped.

"Commodity prices and farm income are settling back to more expected levels, and I think land values will probably move sideways for a while," he said.

Cropland values are always locally variable, too. In the Owensboro-Evansville, Ind., area, according to Mattingly, land values are holding steady. "We recently saw cropland bring $9,000 to $10,000 per acre at auction," he said.

But such sales are also different from the 1980s, according to the ABA report: Land buyers are financing purchases with cash and existing equity, rather than the collateral of the land purchase.

Credit available for higher input

 

Bankers surveyed by the Chicago Fed said they saw some increase in volume of non-real estate (operating) farm loans at the end of 2014.

The St. Louis Fed, the region including the southern counties of Indiana and Illinois and western counties in Kentucky and Tennessee, also reported greater demand for operating money at the end of 2014.

While operating credit is generally available, bankers are understandably cautious with higher input prices and low crop prices. "I think the story of this year is the fact that we did not see the readjustment of input prices," said Mattingly. Consequently, there will be farms needing to stretch out operating loans.

"We’ll see a lot of cash flows having negative debt-service ratios. But we recognize this is the reality of the market, and we’re not going to flinch. Most farmers have seen this before."

Crop insurance also gives ag lenders confidence. "We didn’t have crop insurance in the ‘80s," said Mattingly. "That safety net is really important."

Bankers in the St. Louis Fed district said credit availability will remain high this year. Some cotton-growing areas, like West Tennessee, are reporting much tighter credit conditions for cotton this spring. Bankers surveyed in the St. Louis district also expect to see slightly lower loan repayment rates this spring, as compared to a year ago when many farms were still relatively flush with cash.

Another factor contributing to farm bank health is a high number of smaller farm loans. According to the ABA, 60 percent of loans held by farm banks in 2014 were loans of less than $500,000. About 12 percent of total loan volume was for loans originating for less than $100,000.

Farm banks, as defined by the ABA, are banks having a ratio of domestic farm loans to total domestic loans greater than or equal to the industry average.

The Farm Credit System, which is not tallied in the ABA report, is also focused on extending credit to small and beginning farmers. Some of its initiatives have focused on farms more focused on selling food direct to consumers, farms that tend to be smaller and less focused on commodity agriculture.

4/1/2015